Terrain Research

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Margin Math Demands Closer Attention

Milk production in the U.S. continues its march higher, and the wild shifts in consumer priorities for high-protein products have sparked the volatility in markets that I anticipated in previous

Sweeter Prospects for Sugar Beet Profits in 2027

Following sizable reported losses in 2025/26, 2026/27 looks to be another year of the same for sugar beet farmers. However, I forecast losses to narrow on average, with a near

Wine Export Update: All Eyes on Canada

Trade Tensions Have Severely Damaged U.S. Wine Exports Exports are an important sales channel to many U.S. wineries. They’ve declined gradually over the past decade due to structural factors, but

The California Olive Oil Revolution

Of the hundreds of crops grown in California, olives are particularly unique. Unlike many crops that are concentrated in a specific region, olives are cultivated across multiple production areas throughout

Headlines, Drought and Doubt: A Bumpy Q4 for Cattle

After losing their footing this summer, cattle markets face a bumpy quarter ahead. Drought continues to impede heifer retention, and news developments are introducing more volatility in futures prices. An

On the Side of Cautious Optimism for Almond Prices

The industry is in a far stronger position today than it was just a few years ago. The State of the Market After years of low returns for almond farmers,

The Margin Winds Are Shifting

Over the past few years, dairy producers have enjoyed a favorable combination of strong milk prices, reasonably low feed costs, and exceptionally high beef-cross calf values. While I don’t expect

Counter-Seasonal Price Action in Feeder Cattle

For anyone hedging cattle positions, buying August feeder cattle futures somewhere from March to May and holding those long positions until mid- to late August has been a high-probability trade.

U.S. Milk Checks Face Greater Exposure to Global Dynamics

International markets have a more direct path to the U.S. butterfat and protein component values that appear on milk checks. The U.S. has an abundance of milk. For years, we’ve

Pre-Harvest Outlook: Fewer Bushels, Brighter Demand

Corn and soybeans are nearing the finish line, and the Pro Farmer Crop Tour in mid-August reinforced what we and markets have predicted: There is likely less corn production than